Coupe de France | Seventh Round

Nov 15, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Massabielle

Les Herbiers
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Guillaume (90', 90+5' pen.)
C (90+7'), Guillaume (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bamba (33')
Hamed Toure (45+1'), Bamba (53'), Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (79')
Bamba (78')

Coverage of the Coupe de France Seventh Round clash between Les Herbiers and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Les Herbiers

Last Game: Les Herbiers 2-2 Chateauroux (3-3 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 2-0 Clermont
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Les Herbiers had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Les Herbiers win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Les Herbiers	Draw	Ajaccio
26.22% ( 0.31)	24.9% ( 0.19)	48.88% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 53.29% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

-0.54)

49.32% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

-0.48)

71.37% (

0.48)

Les Herbiers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

-0.03)

33.21% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

-0.04)

69.81% (

0.03)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

-0.42)

20.21% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.48% (

-0.68)

52.52% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Les Herbiers 26.22%

Ajaccio 48.88%

Draw 24.89%

Les Herbiers	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.22%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.88%