Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.