Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Martigues win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Martigues	Draw	Caen
27.33% ( 0.2)	26.51% ( 0.19)	46.15% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 49.25% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98% (

-0.61)

55.02% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.71% (

-0.51)

76.29% (

0.5)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.17)

35.36% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.17)

72.12% (

0.17)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

-0.45)

23.8% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.03% (

-0.65)

57.96% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Martigues 27.33%

Caen 46.14%

Draw 26.5%

Martigues	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.33%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.14%