Ligue 2 | Gameweek 10

Oct 26, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
0 - 1
Troyes

Thomas (39'), Rajot (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Said (45+4')
Adeline (10'), Ripart (85')
Gozzi (79')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Troyes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Caen
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Paris FC
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Caen	Draw	Troyes
43.92% ( 0.14)	27.18% ( 0.07)	28.9% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28% (

-0.35)

56.71% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33% (

-0.28)

77.67% (

0.28)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.09)

25.65% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

-0.12)

60.54% (

0.12)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

-0.35)

35.02% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23% (

-0.36)

71.77% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Caen 43.92%

Troyes 28.9%

Draw 27.17%

Caen	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.92%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.9%