Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Michel d'Ornano
  • Alexandre Mendy 31' goal
  • Bilal Brahimi 57' goal
  • Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zakaria Ariss 45'

Caen vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
Martigues 0 - 3 Caen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
Bastia 2 - 2 Rodez AF
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lamine Cisse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result

Caen 46.64% (-0.51)
Draw 27.25% (+0.20)
Bastia 26.11% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.29% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.6% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 58.4% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 21% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 79% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 8.92% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 91.08% (+0.24)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5 74.95% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 25.05% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 40.27% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 59.73% (+0.66)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 61.77% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.23% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.99% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Caen 46.63%
Draw 27.24%
Bastia 26.11%
Caen
1-0 @ 13.25% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.58% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.24%
Bastia
0-1 @ 9.21% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.13% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.43% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.11%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Benjamin Santelli 33' goal
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 81' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Hiang'a Mbock 23'
  • yellowcard Romain Thomas 55'
  • goal Hiang'a Mbock 60'
  • yellowcard Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi 62'
  • goal Alexandre Mendy 83'
  • yellowcard Mickael Le Bihan 90'+1'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Michel d'Ornano
  • Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi 77' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Mendy 88' goal
  • Bilal Brahimi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cheick Keita 33'
  • yellowcard Jocelyn Janneh 67'
  • yellowcard Kapit Djoco 74'
  • yellowcard Dylan Tavares 90'+3'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anton Saletros 50' goal
  • Alexandre Mendy 69' goal
  • Alexandre Mendy 82' goal
  • goal Yohan Bai 88'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 16
Dec 26, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yohan Bai 90'+1' goal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nuno da Costa 27' goal
  • Nuno da Costa 53' goal
  • Johann Lepenant 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Santelli 7'
  • goal Sebastien Salles-Lamonge 15'
  • yellowcard Lloyd Palun 41'
  • yellowcard Julien Le Cardinal 75'
  • yellowcard Christophe Vincent 90'+3'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benjamin Santelli 13' goal
  • Yohan Bocognano 79' yellowcard
  • Stephen Quemper 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franklin Wadja 71'
  • goal Alexandre Mendy 90'+1'