Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 50.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.