Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.