Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8
Oct 22, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1

Pau
1 - 1
Bastia

Ahoussou (24')
Ahoussou (45'), Mboup (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodrigues (53')
Guidi (29'), Tavares (51')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guingamp 0-1 Pau
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Clermont
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
PauDrawBastia
46.78% (-0.55 -0.55)26.89% (0.24 0.24)26.33% (0.31 0.31)
Both teams to score 47.46% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.01% (-0.681 -0.68)56.99% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-0.547 -0.55)77.88% (0.545 0.55)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)24.36% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.795 -0.8)58.76% (0.794 0.79)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.109 -0.11)37.26% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.107 -0.11)74.05% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Pau 46.77%
    Bastia 26.33%
    Draw 26.88%
PauDrawBastia
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.205 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.33%

How you voted: Pau vs Bastia

Pau
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bastia
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Pau
1-2
Bastia
Bassouamina (8')
Costa (3'), Ruiz (55'), Mouton (74')
D'Almeida (90+6')
Alfarela (70', 83')
Vincent (76'), Bianchini (90+3')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-4
Pau
Conte (62')
Roncaglia (48'), Maggiotti (85')
Santelli (39')
Saivet (27', 79'), Bassouamina (54'), Njoh (82')
Koudou (40'), Ruiz (80'), Njoh (85')
May 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
2-6
Bastia
George (17'), Bassouamina (78' pen.)
Ruiz (74'), Sow (87')
Santelli (20'), Magri (23', 68', 85'), Guidi (56'), Palun (75')
Magri (39')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bastia
1-0
Pau
Santelli (77')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 23
Bastia
1-1
Pau
Santelli (50')
Magri (48'), Ducrocq (67'), Bocognano (74')
Essende (56')
Essende (55')
rhs 2.0


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