Caen
Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
6 - 0
Bolbec

Le Bihan (8'), Autret (48'), Kyeremeh (58', 87'), Mendy (66'), Brahimi (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Caen and Bolbec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Caen 3-3 Rodez AF
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Bolbec

All competitions
Last Game: Maladrerie 1-2 Bolbec
Sunday, November 17 at 1pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 92.29%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for Bolbec had a probability of 1.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 4-0 (12.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.8%), while for a Bolbec win it was 0-1 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawBolbec
92.29% (0.055999999999997 0.06)6.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)1.71% (-0.015 -0.01)
Both teams to score 30.05% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.55% (0.129 0.13)26.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.21% (0.165 0.16)46.78% (-0.166 -0.17)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)3.16% (-0.0269 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.94% (0.091999999999999 0.09)14.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
Bolbec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.04% (-0.026 -0.03)68.96% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.41% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)94.59% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Caen 92.27%
    Bolbec 1.71%
    Draw 6.01%
CaenDrawBolbec
3-0 @ 14.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 12.93% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 8.94% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 5.15% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 3.32% (0.011 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.54% (0.023 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
8-0 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
7-1 @ 0.95% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 92.27%
1-1 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 6.01%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 1.71%