Ligue 2 | Gameweek 13

Nov 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
1 - 0
Caen

Hein (26')
Udol (18'), Traore (45+1'), Van Den Kerkhof (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Metz
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Caen 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, November 2 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Caen
42.44% ( 0.31)	25.84% ( 0.12)	31.71% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

-0.66)

50.37% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

-0.59)

72.31% (

0.59)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0.14)

23.57% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

-0.2)

57.63% (

0.2)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

-0.62)

29.71% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

-0.76)

65.77% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Metz 42.44%

Caen 31.72%

Draw 25.84%

Metz	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.44%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.72%