Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Auxerre

Diarra (45+4' pen.), Lemarechal (59'), Emegha (87')
Emegha (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Traore (14')
Jubal (45+3'), Akpa (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: RC Calais 0-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, December 21 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 0-1 Dunkerque
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Auxerre
39.42% ( 0.37)	24.92% ( -0.05)	35.65% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.59% (

0.22)

45.4% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26% (

0.21)

67.74% (

-0.21)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

0.29)

22.89% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

0.42)

56.63% (

-0.42)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

-0.07)

24.89% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-0.1)

59.5% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 39.42%

Auxerre 35.65%

Draw 24.92%

Strasbourg	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.42%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.65%