Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 1
Nantes

Boakye (86')
Larsonneur (22'), Batubinsika (41')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Simon (14', 14')
Chirivella (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 2-1 St Etienne
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Nantes
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Nantes
34.61% ( -0.32)	25.78% ( -0.03)	39.61% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

0.1)

49.39% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

0.09)

71.43% (

-0.09)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0.14)

27.38% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.18)

62.85% (

0.19)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.23)

24.57% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94% (

0.32)

59.05% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 34.61%

Nantes 39.61%

Draw 25.78%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.61%