Monaco vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.