MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 08:35:13| >> :600:109851:109851:
Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
West Ham logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
West Ham

Onana (71'), Rogers (76')
Rogers (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paqueta (9')
Kudus (29')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa stage comeback win to beat West Ham United and progress from their FA Cup third-round tie on Friday night, with goals from Morgan Rogers and Amadou Onana.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 West Ham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
56.72% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 21.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.85% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.89% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)60.53% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)13.37% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)40.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (0.052000000000007 0.05)30.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (0.064 0.06)67.14% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 56.72%
    West Ham United 21.85%
    Draw 21.43%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs West Ham

Aston Villa
75.0%
Draw
11.2%
West Ham United
13.8%
232
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
West Ham
1-2
Aston Villa
Paqueta (37' pen.)
Paqueta (31')
Onana (4'), Duran (79')
Bailey (8'), Philogene-Bidace (90')
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 29
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Antonio (29')
Alvarez (83'), Kudus (86'), Mavropanos (87')
Zaniolo (79')
Tielemans (70'), Zaniolo (83'), Luiz (86')
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Aston Villa
4-1
West Ham
Luiz (30', 52' pen.), Watkins (74'), Bailey (89')
Bowen (56')
Palmieri (54')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Benrahma (26' pen.)
Watkins (17')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-1
West Ham

Cash (57'), Kamara (79')
Fornals (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


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