FA Cup
Jan 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
  • Morgan Rogers 57' yellowcard
  • Amadou Onana 71' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 76' goal
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 9'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Kudus 29'

Aston Villa vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

West Ham United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result

Aston Villa 56.72% (-0.06)
Draw 21.42% (+0.01)
West Ham United 21.85% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.89% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 38.25% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 39.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 60.53% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.71% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.28% (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 86.62% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.37% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 59.71% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 40.28% (+0.02)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 69.14% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 30.86% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 32.86% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67.14% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 56.72%
Draw 21.43%
West Ham United 21.85%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.43%
West Ham United
1-2 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT London Stadium
  • Lucas Paqueta 31' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 37' goal
  • goal Amadou Onana 4'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 8'
  • goal Jhon Duran 79'
  • yellowcard Jaden Philogene-Bidace 90'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT London Stadium
  • Michail Antonio 29' goal
  • Edson Alvarez 83' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kudus 86' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Mavropanos 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 70'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 83'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 86'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Douglas Luiz 30' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 52' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 74' goal
  • Leon Bailey 89' goal
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 54'
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 56'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Said Benrahma 26' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 17'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matty Cash 57' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Kamara 79' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Fornals 74'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manuel Lanzini 44' yellowcard
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 70' goal
  • Pablo Fornals 82' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 90'