Premier League Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Man City
  • Jhon Duran 16' goal
  • Matty Cash 37' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 65' goal
  • John McGinn 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 47'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 84'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 87'
  • goal Phil Foden 90'+3'

Aston Villa vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
Man City 1 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 31.23% ▲ (+0.84)
Draw 22.58% ▲ (+0.20)
Manchester City 46.19% ▼ (-1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.49% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 35.51% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 3.5 42.44% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 3.5 57.56% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 4.5 24.13% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 4.5 75.87% ▲ (+0.46)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 0.5 22.72% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 43.61% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 56.39% ▼ (-0.37)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 84.11% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 0.5 15.89% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 54.89% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 1.5 45.11% ▲ (+1.03)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 31.23%
Draw 22.58%
Manchester City 46.19%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.58%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 46.19%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Man City
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Rodri 11' goal
  • Jack Grealish 32' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 45'+1' goal
  • Phil Foden 62' goal
  • Phil Foden 69' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 20'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 38'
  • yellowcard Calum Chambers 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Man City
  • Ollie Watkins 60' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 74' goal
  • Boubacar Kamara 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Stones 45'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 53'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Man City
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Rodri 4' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 39' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 45'+1' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 61'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • Matty Cash 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 71' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 74' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 50'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Man City
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Ilkay Gundogan 76' goal
  • Rodri 78' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 81' goal
  • goal Matty Cash 37'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 49'
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 69'
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 87'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Aston Villa
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Ollie Watkins 47' goal
  • goal Ruben Dias 27'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 43'

Form Data

Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Southampton
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford
Chelsea 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Juventus
Man City 1 - 2 Man Utd
Juventus 2 - 0 Man City
Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Man City
Man City 3 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Liverpool 2 - 0 Man City
Man City 3 - 3 Feyenoord

Build-up

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News
Predicted Lineups