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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Milenkovic (87'), Elanga (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (63')
Duran (70')

The Match

Match Report

Anthony Elanga comes off the bench to score a last-gasp winner as Nottingham Forest produce a late fightback to defeat Aston Villa 2-1 at the City Ground.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Nottingham Forest could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
38.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.49% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.029 0.03)71.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.96% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)62.43% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 38.94%
    Aston Villa 35.23%
    Draw 25.82%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.23%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
40.1%
Draw
30.0%
Aston Villa
30.0%
287
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
4-2
Nott'm Forest
Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15Everton246992530-527
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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