Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton

Watkins (36' pen.), Rogers (47')
Rogers (38'), Mings (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Adingra (12'), Lamptey (81')
Hurzeler (37'), Ayari (45+7'), Balepa (72'), Julio (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Brentford
Friday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
41.88% ( 0.28)	23.43% ( 0.03)	34.68% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 63.18% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.53% (

-0.21)

38.47% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24% (

-0.22)

60.76% (

0.22)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

0.03)

18.77% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82% (

0.06)

50.17% (

-0.06)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

-0.26)

22.21% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36% (

-0.39)

55.63% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 41.88%

Brighton & Hove Albion 34.68%

Draw 23.43%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 34.68%