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Anthony Gordon
2'
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Kieran Trippier
23'
-
Joelinton
45'
-
Alexander Isak
59'
-
Joelinton
90'+1'
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Matty Cash
14'
-
Jhon Duran
32'
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Newcastle United Goals
Aston Villa Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 51.27%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 25.73%
Head to Head
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Boubacar Kamara
39'
-
Ollie Watkins
71'
-
Douglas Luiz
72'
-
John McGinn
77'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
90'+5'
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Fabian Schar
32'
-
Fabian Schar
36'
-
Alex Moreno
52'
(OG)
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Anthony Gordon
90'+4'
-
Sandro Tonali
6'
-
Alexander Isak
16'
-
Anthony Gordon
53'
-
Sven Botman
45'+9'
-
Alexander Isak
58'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
67'
-
Callum Wilson
77'
-
Harvey Barnes
90'+1'
-
Sandro Tonali
90'+2'
-
Douglas Luiz
6'
-
Moussa Diaby
11'
-
Lucas Digne
32'
-
Matty Cash
48'
-
Emiliano Martinez
45'+9'
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Elliott Anderson
28'
-
Alexander Isak
45'
-
Callum Wilson
55'
-
Ollie Watkins
7'
-
Emiliano Buendia
11'
-
Emiliano Buendia
48'
-
Jacob Ramsey
11'
-
Ollie Watkins
64'
-
Ollie Watkins
83'
-
Callum Wilson
45'+5'
-
Callum Wilson
56'
-
Joelinton
59'
-
Miguel Almiron
67'
-
Kieran Trippier
35'
-
Joelinton
39'
-
Dan Burn
66'
-
Jonjo Shelvey
82'
-
John McGinn
42'
-
Douglas Luiz
89'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+5'
-
Jacob Ramsey
90'+7'
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