Dec 18, 2024 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT St. James' Park

Sandro Tonali 9'
Fabian Schar 17'
Bruno Guimaraes 38'
Sandro Tonali 43'
Tino Livramento 45'+1'
Fabian Schar 69'

Nathan Collins 31'
Yoane Wissa 90'+1'

Newcastle United vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

No-nonsense Newcastle: Magpies make easy work of Brentford in dominant EFL Cup win

No-nonsense Newcastle: Magpies make easy work of Brentford in dominant EFL Cup win

Football | 18 Dec 2024 21:58

Match Preview

Newcastle vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Newcastle vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 16 Dec 2024 15:58

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

W
L
D
D
L
W

Brentford

All competitions

L
W
L
W
D
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 61.65%

Draw 19.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Brentford 18.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

61.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 33.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 44.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 55.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 4.5 25.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 74.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 89.45%

Under 0.5 10.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 65.72%

Under 1.5 34.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 30.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 32.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 67.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 61.65%

Draw 19.53%

Brentford 18.82%

Newcastle United

2-1 @ 9.69%

2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 7.26%

3-0 @ 6.2%

3-2 @ 4.26%

4-1 @ 4.08%

4-0 @ 3.48%

4-2 @ 2.39%

5-1 @ 1.84%

5-0 @ 1.57%

5-2 @ 1.08%

Other @ 4.21%

Total : 61.65%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.68%

0-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.66%

Other @ 0.31%

Total : 19.53%

Brentford

1-2 @ 5.05%

0-1 @ 3.83%

0-2 @ 2.25%

2-3 @ 2.22%

1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.5%

Total : 18.82%

Head to Head

Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm

4

2

HT : 2 2

FT Brentford Community Stadium

Bryan Mbeumo 8'
Yoane Wissa 28'
Keane Lewis-Potter 45'+3'
Nathan Collins 56'
Sepp van den Berg 67'
Mark Flekken 88'
Kevin Schade 90'

Alexander Isak 11'
Harvey Barnes 32'

May 19, 2024 4.00pm

2

4

HT : 0 3

FT Brentford Community Stadium

Ivan Toney 44'
Vitaly Janelt 48'
Mathias Jensen 45'+5'
Yoane Wissa 51'
Yoane Wissa 70'
Neal Maupay 90'+5'

Harvey Barnes 21'
Joelinton 28'
Jacob Murphy 36'
Alexander Isak 38'
Dan Burn 53'
Emil Krafth 66'
Bruno Guimaraes 77'
Nick Pope 90'+5'

Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT St. James' Park

Callum Wilson 64'
Anthony Gordon 90'+5'
Callum Wilson 90'+5'
Bruno Guimaraes 90'+7'

Yoane Wissa 33'
Christian Norgaard 42'
Aaron Hickey 59'
Mark Flekken 64'
Nathan Collins 85'

Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Ivan Toney 45'+1'

David Raya 54' (OG)
Alexander Isak 61'

Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm

5

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Bruno Guimaraes 21'
Jacob Murphy 28'
Bruno Guimaraes 56'
Miguel Almiron 82'
Ethan Pinnock 90'

Ivan Toney 54'

Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT

Josh Dasilva 11'
Kristoffer Ajer 45'+1'
Bryan Mbeumo 84'
Vitaly Janelt 90'+5'

Joelinton 33'
Joe Willock 44'
Martin Dubravka 68'

Form Data

Newcastle 4 - 0 Leicester

Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle

Newcastle 3 - 3 Liverpool

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle

Newcastle 0 - 2 West Ham

Nott'm Forest 1 - 3 Newcastle

Chelsea 2 - 1 Brentford

Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford

Brentford 4 - 1 Leicester

Everton 0 - 0 Brentford

Brentford 3 - 2 Bournemouth