Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
4 - 0
Leicester

Murphy (30', 60'), Guimaraes (47'), Isak (50')
Murphy (35'), Guimaraes (39'), Joelinton (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Skipp (20'), Vestergaard (90+2'), Okoli (90+6')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 4-2 Newcastle
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
49.78% ( -0.02)	22.51% ( 0)	27.71% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.57% (

-0)

37.43% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.35% (

-0)

59.65% (

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

-0.01)

15.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.92% (

-0.02)

44.07% (

0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

0.01)

25.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.13% (

0.02)

60.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 49.78%

Leicester City 27.71%

Draw 22.5%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.78%	1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.71%