Premier League Gameweek 16
Newcastle
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Leicester
  • Jacob Murphy 30' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 35' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 39' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 47' goal
  • Alexander Isak 50' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 60' goal
  • Joelinton 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Skipp 20'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Caleb Okoli 90'+6'

Newcastle United vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 2.00pm
Leicester 2 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 49.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 22.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Leicester City 27.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 37.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 40.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 59.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 84.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.07% ▲ (+0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 74.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 49.78%
Draw 22.5%
Leicester City 27.71%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 49.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.5%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 27.71%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 37
Newcastle
May 22, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leicester
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Leicester
  • Dan Burn 60' goal
  • Joelinton 72' goal
Premier League Gameweek 17
Leicester
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Newcastle
  • goal Chris Wood 3'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 7'
  • goal Joelinton 32'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Newcastle
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leicester
  • Bruno Guimaraes 30' goal
  • Emil Krafth 84' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Amartey 1'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 19'
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Leicester
Dec 12, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Timothy Castagne 11' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 38' goal
  • Patson Daka 57' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 64' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 81' goal
  • James Maddison 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Lewis 24'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 70'
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 90'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Leicester
May 7, 2021 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Newcastle
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 72' yellowcard
  • Marc Albrighton 80' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 87' goal
  • goal Joe Willock 22'
  • goal Paul Dummett 34'
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 56'
  • goal Callum Wilson 64'
  • goal Callum Wilson 73'

Form Data

Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 3 - 3 Liverpool
Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 0 - 2 West Ham
Nott'm Forest 1 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Arsenal
Leicester 2 - 2 Brighton
Leicester 3 - 1 West Ham
Brentford 4 - 1 Leicester
Leicester 1 - 2 Chelsea
Man Utd 3 - 0 Leicester
Ipswich 1 - 1 Leicester

Build-up

Predicted Lineups