Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 3.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 4-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 87.83% ( | 8.47% ( | 3.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.02% ( | 24.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.12% ( | 44.88% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.36% ( | 3.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.33% ( | 15.66% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.39% ( | 87.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 3-0 @ 12.03% ( 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 4-0 @ 9.97% ( 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 5-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 4-1 @ 6.05% ( 5-1 @ 4.01% ( 6-0 @ 3.66% ( 6-1 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 7-0 @ 1.73% ( 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 7-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 87.82% | 1-1 @ 3.98% ( 2-2 @ 2% ( 0-0 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 8.47% | 1-2 @ 1.21% ( 0-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.29% Total : 3.7% |