Champions League

Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 3
Monaco

(Benfica win 4-3 on aggregate)

Akturkoglu (22'), Pavlidis (76' pen.), Kokcu (84')
Barreiro (67'), Amdouni (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Minamino (32'), Ben Seghir (51'), Ilenikhena (81')
Akliouche (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Nantes
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Monaco
57.58% ( 3.59)	20.44% ( -1.26)	21.98% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 63.76% (

1.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.71% (

3.34)

33.29% (

-3.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.94% (

3.73)

55.06% (

-3.73)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

2.14)

11.53% (

-2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.56% (

4.43)

36.44% (

-4.42)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

-0)

27.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44% (

-0.01)

63.56% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Benfica 57.58%

Monaco 21.98%

Draw 20.44%

Benfica	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.54) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.34) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.22) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.58%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.82) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.6) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.49) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.48% Total : 21.98%