Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.