Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
0 - 1
Jagiellonia


Pankov (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Churlinov (41')
T (21'), Wojtuszek (56'), Stojinovic (90+1')
Stojinovic (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 0-3 Chelsea
Thursday, April 10 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Betis 2-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
52.54% (-0.583 -0.58)22.79% (0.198 0.2)24.66% (0.381 0.38)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (-0.533 -0.53)41.46% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-0.543 -0.54)63.86% (0.537 0.54)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)15.83% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.99% (-0.722 -0.72)45% (0.717 0.72)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.019999999999996 0.02)30.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.43% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 52.54%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 24.66%
    Draw 22.79%
Legia WarsawDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.54%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Legia vs Jagiellonia

Legia Warsaw
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 11
Jagiellonia
1-1
Legia
Imaz (35')
Romanczuk (44'), Kubicki (74'), Pululu (90+7')
Gual (67')
Chodyna (48'), Kapustka (63'), Tobiasz (87'), Jedrzejczyk (90+6')
Apr 7, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Legia
1-1
Jagiellonia
Gual (30')
Imaz (83')
Dieguez (88')
Oct 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 10
Jagiellonia
2-0
Legia
Naranjo (13'), Imaz (29')
Alomerovic (62'), Laski (89')

Burch (49')
Burch (87')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!