Conference League
Apr 10, 2025 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • goal Tyrique George 49'
  • goal Noni Madueke 57'
  • goal Noni Madueke 74'

Legia Warsaw vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

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Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Legia Warsaw 32.71% (+0.03)
Draw 24.34% (-0.01)
Chelsea 42.95% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.63% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.37% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.23% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.76% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.69% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.3% (-0.02)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 74.36% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.64% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.46% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.54% (-0.04)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 79.65% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.34% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.73% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 32.71%
Draw 24.33%
Chelsea 42.95%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 7.69% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 32.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.33%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 9% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 42.95%

Build-up

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