Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.