UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 0
Copenhagen

(Chelsea win 3-1 on aggregate)

Dewsbury-Hall (55')
Cucurella (69'), Adarabioyo (85'), Adarabioyo (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Achouri (76')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca in February 2025.

Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca defends players after bizarre first half in Copenhagen Conference League win

Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca suggests it was part of his plan for the Blues to make little impact in the final third during the first half versus Copenhagen.

Mar 14, 09:42

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leicester
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Copenhagen

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 SonderjyskE
Sunday, March 9 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Copenhagen had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Copenhagen win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Copenhagen
61.7% ( 0.12)	19.6% ( -0.04)	18.71% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.88% (

0.07)

34.12% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44% (

0.08)

56% (

-0.07)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.3% (

0.05)

10.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.38% (

0.11)

34.62% (

-0.11)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-0.04)

31.42% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

-0.04)

67.8% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 61.7%

Copenhagen 18.71%

Draw 19.6%

Chelsea	Draw	Copenhagen
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 61.7%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.6%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 18.71%