Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.