Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.23%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.