FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Morecambe
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 40' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 50' goal
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 70' goal
  • Joao Felix 75' goal
  • Joao Felix 77' goal

Chelsea vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Morecambe

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result

Chelsea 77.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 13.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Morecambe 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 27.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 52.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 47.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 32.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 67.23% ▲ (+0.05)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 94.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 78.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.96% ▲ (+0.03)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 59.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 23.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Chelsea 77.54%
Draw 13.47%
Morecambe 8.99%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.46%
4-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 77.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.47%
Morecambe
1-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 8.99%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 10, 2021 1.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Morecambe
  • Mason Mount 18' goal
  • Timo Werner 44' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 49' goal
  • Kai Havertz 85' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gibson 78'

Form Data

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Chelsea
Ipswich 2 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 2 Fulham
Everton 0 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 5 - 1 Shamrock
Chelsea 2 - 1 Brentford
Morecambe 2 - 0 Tranmere
Salford City 1 - 0 Morecambe
Carlisle 0 - 1 Morecambe
Morecambe 0 - 2 Bromley
Cheltenham 2 - 0 Morecambe
Morecambe 0 - 1 Lincoln

Build-up

News
Head to head