Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Everton had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 23.98% ( | 23.34% ( | 52.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% ( | 44.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.04% ( | 66.96% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( | 32.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( | 69.05% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( | 16.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% ( | 46.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 2-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 3-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 1-3 @ 5.78% ( 0-3 @ 5.14% ( 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.68% |