Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Chelsea

Mateta (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Palmer (14')
Colwill (65'), Fernandez (80')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Chelsea
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 0-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Chelsea
21.06% ( 0.57)	21.1% ( 0.24)	57.83% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 59.83% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.21% (

-0.37)

37.79% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.96% (

-0.4)

60.03% (

0.39)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

0.32)

31.31% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

0.37)

67.67% (

-0.38)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

-0.36)

12.89% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69% (

-0.73)

39.3% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 21.06%

Chelsea 57.83%

Draw 21.1%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 21.06%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.83% Total : 57.83%