Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
2 - 1
Southampton

Chalobah (31'), Eze (52')
Hughes (79'), Nketiah (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Obling (14')
Fernandes (58'), Harwood-Bellis (69'), Bednarek (80')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Crystal Palace
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 West Ham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Southampton
37.4% ( -2.85)	23.91% ( -0.7)	38.69% ( 3.55)

Both teams to score 61.81% (

2.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.57% (

3.59)

40.42% (

-3.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.2% (

3.6)

62.8% (

-3.6)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

0.17)

21.69% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

0.27)

54.84% (

-0.27)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

3.47)

21.06% (

-3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

5.14)

53.87% (

-5.14)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 37.4%

Southampton 38.69%

Draw 23.9%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -1.17) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.86) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.4%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.8) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.63) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.5) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.39) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.3) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.69%