Premier League
Gameweek
17
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-
Ismaila Sarr
11'
-
Marc Guehi
64'
-
Nathaniel Clyne
79'
-
Gabriel Jesus
6'
-
Gabriel Jesus
14'
-
Gabriel Magalhaes
31'
-
Jurrien Maduro
36'
-
Kai Havertz
38'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
60'
-
Declan Rice
84'
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmikel-arteta_1.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fbuksak.jpg)
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fbukayo-saka.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fgabriel-jesus_1.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fbukayo-saka_1.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fgabriel-jesus.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fdaniel-munoz.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fkieran-tierney.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Crystal Palace
14.37%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
19.87%
▲
(+0.38)
Arsenal
65.75%
▼
(-0.62)
Both Teams to Score:
50.29%
▼
(-0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.24%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 2.5
43.76%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 3.5
33.85%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 3.5
66.15%
▲
(+1.17)
Over 4.5
17.41%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
82.58%
▲
(+0.87)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5
57.45%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
42.55%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
21.09%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
78.9%
▲
(+0.35)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
87.53%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 0.5
12.47%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 1.5
61.57%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
38.43%
▲
(+1.10)
Score analysis
Crystal Palace
14.37%
Draw
19.87%
Arsenal
65.74%
Crystal Palace
1-0
@
4.53%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.37%
2-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.37%
Draw
1-1
@
9.44%
▲
(+0.20)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.87%
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.87%
Arsenal
0-2
@
11.49%
▲
(+0.14)
0-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.35)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.10)
0-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 65.74%
0-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.35)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.10)
0-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 65.74%
Head to Head
EFL Cup
-
Gabriel Jesus
54'
-
Gabriel Jesus
73'
-
Gabriel Jesus
81'
-
Myles Lewis-Skelly
90'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
4'
-
Caleb Kporha
23'
-
Eddie Nketiah
85'
Premier League
Gameweek
21
-
Gabriel Magalhaes
11'
-
Dean Henderson
37'
-
Leandro Trossard
59'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
90'+4'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
90'+5'
Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Jordan Ayew
27'
-
Cheick Doucoure
90'+1'
-
Martin Odegaard
54'
-
Takehiro Tomiyasu
60'
-
Takehiro Tomiyasu
67'
-
Kai Havertz
90'+4'
Premier League
Gameweek
28
-
Gabriel Martinelli
28'
-
Bukayo Saka
43'
-
Granit Xhaka
55'
-
Bukayo Saka
74'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
63'
Premier League
Gameweek
1
-
Nathaniel Clyne
64'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
20'
-
Granit Xhaka
44'
-
Ben White
60'
-
Marc Guehi
85'
(OG)
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
16'
-
Jordan Ayew
24'
-
Wilfried Zaha
74'
-
Thomas Partey
53'
-
Granit Xhaka
77'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fdeclan-rice_1.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Fdeclan-rice.jpg)