EFL Cup
Southampton
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Liverpool
  • Flynn Downes 57' yellowcard
  • Cameron Archer 59' goal
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 24'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 32'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 57'
  • yellowcard James McConnell 90'

Southampton vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Liverpool

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result

Southampton 13.23% ▲ (+1.80)
Draw 16.52% ▲ (+1.51)
Liverpool 70.25% ▼ (-3.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.61% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.73% ▼ (-2.84)
Under 2.5 30.26% ▲ (+2.83)
Over 3.5 48.49% ▼ (-3.48)
Under 3.5 51.51% ▲ (+3.48)
Over 4.5 29.36% ▼ (-3.21)
Under 4.5 70.63% ▲ (+3.20)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 64.6% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 0.5 35.4% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 1.5 27.83% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 72.16% ▼ (-0.69)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 92.28% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 0.5 7.71% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 1.5 72.52% ▼ (-3.46)
Under 1.5 27.48% ▲ (+3.45)

Score analysis

Southampton 13.23%
Draw 16.52%
Liverpool 70.25%
Southampton
2-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.47)
1-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 13.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.79)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.42)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 16.52%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.41)
0-2 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.34)
0-1 @ 7% ▲ (+0.65)
1-4 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.51)
0-4 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.59)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.21)
1-5 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.47)
0-5 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.51)
2-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.22)
1-6 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.30)
0-6 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 70.25%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 12
Southampton
Nov 24, 2024 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Liverpool
  • Adam Lallana 23' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 42' goal
  • Mateus Fernandes 56' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 73' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 13'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 16'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 30'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 49'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 65'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Salah 84'
FA Cup
Liverpool
Feb 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Southampton
  • Lewis Koumas 44' goal
  • Jayden Danns 73' goal
  • Jayden Danns 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 79'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Southampton
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Liverpool
  • James Ward-Prowse 19' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 28' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 48' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 64' goal
  • goal Diogo Jota 10'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 14'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 72'
  • goal Diogo Jota 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Liverpool
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Southampton
  • Roberto Firmino 6' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 21' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • goal Che Adams 9'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Southampton
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Nathan Redmond 13' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 74' yellowcard
  • goal Takumi Minamino 27'
  • goal Joel Matip 67'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Liverpool
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Southampton
  • Diogo Jota 2' goal
  • Diogo Jota 32' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 37' goal
  • Virgil van Dijk 52' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 11'

Form Data

Southampton 0 - 5 Spurs
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 5 Chelsea
Brighton 1 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 2 - 3 Liverpool
Wolves 2 - 0 Southampton
Liverpool 2 - 2 Fulham
Girona 0 - 1 Liverpool
Newcastle 3 - 3 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 0 Man City
Liverpool 2 - 0 Real Madrid
Southampton 2 - 3 Liverpool

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups