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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Morecambe

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Morecambe

Jude-Boyd (33'), Miller (74')
Thomas (26'), Bakare (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macadam (64'), Williams (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
42.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)26.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)31.43% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51%59.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.012 -0.01)31.22% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 42.11%
    Morecambe 31.43%
    Draw 26.45%
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.43%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Morecambe
2-1
Cheltenham
Weir (20'), Phillips (47')
May (39')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Morecambe
1-3
Cheltenham
Leigh (52')
Sercombe (44'), Wright (46'), May (80')
Bonds (9')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
3-1
Morecambe
Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm