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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 42.12% ( | 26.45% ( | 31.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( | 24.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% | 59.49% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( | 31.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( | 67.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.43% |