Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Morecambe

Swindon
2 - 3
Morecambe

Drinan (32'), Delaney (49')
Cox (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stott (6'), Tollitt (14'), Hope (78')
Tutonda (11')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMorecambe
49.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)25.76% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)70.38% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.012999999999991 0.01)19.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (0.017000000000003 0.02)51.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)69.59% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.7%
    Morecambe 25.76%
    Draw 24.54%
Swindon TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.76%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-3
Morecambe
Austin (5', 35'), Kokolo (74')
McCarthy (46')
Adams (15'), Fairclough (21'), Smith (86')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
2-2
Swindon
Taylor (31'), Walker (80')
Connolly (33'), Songo'o (54')
Songo'o (55')
Kemp (12'), Austin (57' pen.)
Khan (78'), Kemp (90+5')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
3-1
Morecambe
Doyle (5', 21'), Yates (17')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
4-0
Morecambe
Robinson (10'), Woolery (42'), Conroy (66'), Bennett (81')
Bennett (80')

Kenyon (36')