League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Smith (75')
Clarke (28'), Butterworth (38'), Freckleton (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Olowu (58'), Ironside (90+4' pen.)
Sharp (51'), Kelly (77')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Swindon
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
36.55% ( 0.38)	24.65% ( 0.02)	38.79% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 59% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

-0.09)

44.04% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

-0.08)

66.42% (

0.08)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

0.16)

23.77% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08% (

0.24)

57.92% (

-0.24)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

-0.24)

22.6% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

-0.37)

56.21% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 36.55%

Doncaster Rovers 38.79%

Draw 24.64%

Swindon Town	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.79%