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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 41.69% ( | 24.59% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( | 44.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( | 66.63% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( | 21.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( | 54.22% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( | 25.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( | 60.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.71% |