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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Gillingham

Doncaster
1 - 0
Gillingham

Sharp (30')
Sterry (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nevitt (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Doncaster Rovers.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGillingham
41.54% (-0.277 -0.28)26.11% (-0.02 -0.02)32.35% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (0.174 0.17)51.28% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (0.153 0.15)73.11% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.42% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.84% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.28800000000001 0.29)29.74% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.346 0.35)65.81% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.53%
    Gillingham 32.35%
    Draw 26.1%
Doncaster RoversDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.35%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Gillingham

Doncaster Rovers
67.6%
Draw
8.8%
Gillingham
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Gillingham
2-2
Doncaster
Dieng (57'), Anderson (62' og.)
Andrews (13'), Clemence (14'), Ehmer (71')
Ironside (30'), Molyneux (37')
Craig (77')
Lo-Tutala (55')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Doncaster
2-1
Gillingham
Close (12', 87')
Biggins (34'), Ironside (90')
Masterson (45+2')
Coleman (53'), Malone (90+5')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Doncaster
0-1
Gillingham

Galbraith (90+7')
Kelman (1')