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Championship header 2

League Two

Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Chesterfield

Port Vale
1 - 0
Chesterfield

Chislett (11')
Chislett (15'), Garrity (44'), John (75'), Tolaj (83'), Stockley (84'), Paton (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-4 Port Vale
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawChesterfield
33.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)25.21%41.35% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)62.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.010999999999996 0.01)22.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 33.44%
    Chesterfield 41.35%
    Draw 25.2%
Port ValeDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Chesterfield
Pugh (45'), Whitfield (82')
Worrall (78'), Hannant (79'), Smith (90')
Pugh (45')
Reed (56')
Barry (3'), Hines (78')
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
2-0
Port Vale
Dennis (38'), Sinnott (43')
Wiseman (83'), McCourt (95')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-0
Port Vale
Rowley (54')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Chesterfield
Thomas (61')
Knops (21'), Taylor (26'), Thomas (77')

Donohue (27'), Hird (69'), Evatt (73')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
4-2
Port Vale
Campbell-Ryce (47'), Hird (60'), Ariyibi (73'), O'Shea (83')
Leitch-Smith (35'), Hooper (70')
Grant (31'), Duffy (59'), Purkiss (69'), Streete (92')