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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 57.1% ( | 21.95% | 20.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( | 41.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( | 64.29% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( | 14.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.57% | 42.43% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( | 33.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( | 70.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 3-1 @ 6.39% 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.1% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.95% |