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Championship header 2

League Two

Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Walsall
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Lowe (48'), Matt (66')
Gordon (38'), Jellis (77'), Lakin (86'), Okagbue (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miller (85')
Stubbs (12'), Jude-Boyd (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Walsall and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-2 Huddersfield
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawCheltenham Town
42.16% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)26.08% (0.014999999999997 0.01)31.75% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)51.35% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)73.17% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)24.13% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)58.44% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (0.016999999999996 0.02)30.17% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 42.16%
    Cheltenham Town 31.75%
    Draw 26.08%
WalsallDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.75%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-1
Walsall
N'Lundulu (38'), Sercombe (43')
Johnson (86')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Walsall
1-2
Cheltenham
Lavery (3')
Norman (75'), Bates (79')
Smith (35'), Wright (43')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Cheltenham
3-0
Walsall
Scarr (50' og.), Blair (58'), Tozer (88')
May (86')

Kinsella (10'), Holden (44'), Lavery (81'), Jules (86')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cheltenham
3-1
Walsall
Sheaf (18'), Thomas (48'), May (72')
Sheaf (52'), May (72')
Adebayo (78')
Clarke (57')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Walsall
1-2
Cheltenham
Gordon (52' pen.)
Kinsella (66'), Clarke (77')
Tozer (35'), Varney (58')
Broom (30'), Flinders (81')