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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Harrogate Town

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Harrogate

Bradbury (90+2')
Haynes (71'), Taylor (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Folarin (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cheltenham Town.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
40.54% (-0.234 -0.23)26.77% (0.064 0.06)32.68% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.209 -0.21)53.89% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.176 -0.18)75.35% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)26.12% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.298 -0.3)61.19% (0.296 0.3)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.11% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 40.54%
    Harrogate Town 32.68%
    Draw 26.77%
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.54%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Harrogate

Cheltenham Town
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Harrogate Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Cheltenham
4-1
Harrogate
Sercombe (11'), Smith (22'), May (34'), Wright (56')
Muldoon (7')
Feb 9, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 22
Harrogate
0-1
Cheltenham
Boyle (43')