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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cheltenham Town.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 40.54% ( | 26.77% ( | 32.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% ( | 53.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( | 75.35% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( | 26.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( | 61.19% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( | 67.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.68% |