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Championship header 2

League Two

Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Swindon Town

Port Vale
2 - 1
Swindon

Byers (61'), Cover (85')
Garrity (59'), Sang (87'), Byers (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wright (89')
Cotterill (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawSwindon Town
41.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)31.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)76.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.71%
    Swindon Town 31.34%
    Draw 26.95%
Port ValeDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 41.71%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Swindon
(Aggregate 0-0 | Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties)
Wilson (8')
Wilson (42'), Pett (59')

Iandolo (56'), Conroy (95'), McKirdy (120+1')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 12pm
Swindon
2-1
Port Vale
McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-0
Port Vale
Legge (41' og.), Hope (45'), Doughty (60')
Doughty (91')

Atkinson (34'), Joyce (42'), Brisley (85'), Legge (87')