EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT County Ground
  • Paul Glatzel 2' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 12' goal
  • Joel McGregor 30' goal
  • Botan Ameen 35' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Hutchinson 28'
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 59'

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.00pm
Exeter 2 - 1 Swindon

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.00pm
Bristol Rovers 3 - 3 Spurs U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 43.68% (+0.03)
Draw 24.42% (-0.01)
Bristol Rovers 31.91% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.41% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.23% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.77% (-0.03)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.71% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.29% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 47.35% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.65% (-0.05)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.54% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.63% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 43.68%
Draw 24.41%
Bristol Rovers 31.91%
Swindon Town
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.41%
Bristol Rovers
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.91%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ryan Loft 63' goal
  • Harry Anderson 76' goal
  • Luke McCormick 83' goal
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyreece Simpson 16' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Taylor 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 32'
  • goal Sam Finley 35'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 40'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 74'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Luca Hoole 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Anderson 17' goal
  • Alfie Kilgour 79' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 84' redcard
  • Cian Harries 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Payne 57'
  • goal Ben Gladwin 85'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 87'
League One Gameweek 29
Mar 23, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ed Upson 21' yellowcard
  • George Williams 76' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Payne 71'
League One Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Dion Donohue 38' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Grounds 62' yellowcard
  • Akinwale Odimayo 64' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 76' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 81'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 9
Nov 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium (Bristol, Gloucestershire)
  • Mark Little 73' goal
  • Ollie Clarke 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Broadbent 75'
  • yellowcard Sidy Sanokho 80'