EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
4 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Glatzel (2', 12'), McGregor (30'), Ameen (35')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Hutchinson (28'), McCormick (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
43.68% ( 0.03)	24.42% ( -0.01)	31.91% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.62% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

0.04)

44.03% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

0.04)

66.41% (

-0.04)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

0.03)

20.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

0.04)

52.65% (

-0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

0.01)

26.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

0.01)

61.63% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 43.68%

Bristol Rovers 31.91%

Draw 24.41%

Swindon Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.91%