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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 52.4% ( | 22.52% ( | 25.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.25% ( | 39.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.89% ( | 62.1% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( | 15.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( | 43.97% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 5-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.4% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 25.08% |