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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 49.8% ( | 24.03% ( | 26.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( | 67.97% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( | 18.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.46% ( | 49.54% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( | 31.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( | 67.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.18% |