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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
49.8% ( -0.02) | 24.03% ( -0.01) | 26.18% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% ( 0.04) | 45.64% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.03% ( 0.04) | 67.97% ( -0.04) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( 0.01) | 18.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% ( 0.01) | 49.54% ( -0.01) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( 0.05) | 31.29% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( 0.05) | 67.64% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 35 |
2 | Walsall | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 32 |
4 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
6 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 28 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
9 | Chesterfield | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Salford City | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Gillingham | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 22 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 22 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Bromley | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 18 |
22 | Morecambe | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 14 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Swindon TownSwindon | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 13 |
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