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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
MK Dons

Harrogate
1 - 5
MK Dons

Offord (73' og.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leigh (35'), White (45+2'), Gilbey (45+4'), Lemonheigh-Evans (88'), Finch (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
25.79% (-0.716 -0.72) 24.4% (0.387 0.39) 49.81% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-1.927 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-2.236 -2.24)47.6% (2.239 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-2.102 -2.1)69.8% (2.104 2.1)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-1.754 -1.75)32.64% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-2.011 -2.01)69.19% (2.013 2.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)19.15% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-1.229 -1.23)50.79% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 25.79%
    MK Dons 49.81%
    Draw 24.4%
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7% (0.316 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.564 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.708 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.397 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Harrogate
3-5
MK Dons
Odoh (33'), Thomson (45+2', 50')
Gilbey (40'), Dean (43'), Wearne (52'), Tezgel (80'), Harrison (83')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
0-1
Harrogate

Alexander (44'), Williams (54'), Ilunga (90+5'), Dean (90+6')
O'Hora (40' og.)
Oxley (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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