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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 25.79% ( | 24.4% ( | 49.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( | 47.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( | 69.8% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( | 32.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( | 69.19% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( | 19.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( | 50.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7% ( 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 2-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 3-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0-3 @ 4.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.81% |