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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
MK Dons

Harrogate
1 - 5
MK Dons

Offord (73' og.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leigh (35'), White (45+2'), Gilbey (45+4'), Lemonheigh-Evans (88'), Finch (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
25.79% (-0.716 -0.72)24.4% (0.387 0.39)49.81% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-1.927 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-2.236 -2.24)47.6% (2.239 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-2.102 -2.1)69.8% (2.104 2.1)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-1.754 -1.75)32.64% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-2.011 -2.01)69.19% (2.013 2.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)19.15% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-1.229 -1.23)50.79% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 25.79%
    MK Dons 49.81%
    Draw 24.4%
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7% (0.316 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.564 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.708 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.397 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Harrogate
3-5
MK Dons
Odoh (33'), Thomson (45+2', 50')
Gilbey (40'), Dean (43'), Wearne (52'), Tezgel (80'), Harrison (83')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
0-1
Harrogate

Alexander (44'), Williams (54'), Ilunga (90+5'), Dean (90+6')
O'Hora (40' og.)
Oxley (43')