League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Callum Hendry 18' goal
  • Callum Hendry 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Weir 13'
  • yellowcard Jamie Jellis 63'

MK Dons vs Walsall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2024 8.00pm
Salford City 1 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Walsall

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Walsall 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Nathan Lowe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

MK Dons 52.63% (-0.13)
Draw 22.81% (+0.08)
Walsall 24.55% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.52% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.36% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 41.64% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 35.96% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 64.04% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 18.99% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 81.01% (+0.23)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 84.14% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 15.86% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 54.93% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 45.07% (+0.28)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5 69.55% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 30.45% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 33.35% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 66.65% (+0.14)

Score analysis

MK Dons 52.63%
Draw 22.81%
Walsall 24.55%
MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.19% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 52.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.83% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
Walsall
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.74% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.55%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Emre Tezgel 28' goal
  • Max Dean 59' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 62' goal
  • Joe Tomlinson 74' goal
  • Max Dean 78' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Adegboyega 81'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • Oisin McEntee 27' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hutchinson 41' yellowcard
  • Harry Williams 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 24'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 66'
  • yellowcard Cameron Norman 67'
EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Banks's Stadium
  • goal Henry Lawrence 62'
  • goal Nathan Holland 90'+3'
League One
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Julien Ngoy 70' goal
League One
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chuks Aneke 24' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 57' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Roberts 58'
League One
Apr 30, 2017 12.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Erhun Oztumer 84' goal
  • goal Robbie Muirhead 11'
  • goal Ben Reeves 32'
  • goal Stuart O'Keefe 71'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 85'