League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 0
Walsall

Hendry (18')
Hendry (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Weir (13'), Jellis (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 1-0 MK Dons
Monday, September 2 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Walsall

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Walsall (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Walsall
52.63% ( -0.13)	22.81% ( 0.07)	24.55% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.52% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36% (

-0.29)

41.64% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.96% (

-0.29)

64.04% (

0.3)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

-0.15)

15.86% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93% (

-0.27)

45.07% (

0.28)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

-0.11)

30.45% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-0.13)

66.65% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 52.63%

Walsall 24.55%

Draw 22.81%

MK Dons	Draw	Walsall
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.63%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.55%