League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Francis Okoronkko 42' goal
  • Tom Edwards 60' yellowcard

Salford City vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Salford City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
MK Dons 3 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Salford City 25.48% (-0.28)
Draw 24.08% (+0.05)
MK Dons 50.43% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.22% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.54% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 46.45% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 31.26% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 68.73% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 15.55% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 84.44% (+0.28)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 67.72% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 32.27% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 31.23% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 68.77% (+0.51)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 81.54% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 18.46% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 50.36% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 49.64% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Salford City 25.48%
Draw 24.08%
MK Dons 50.43%
Salford City
1-0 @ 6.74% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.96% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.08%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.06% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.5% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.79% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.43%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Mike Williamson 21' yellowcard
  • Kyran Lofthouse 27' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 31' goal
  • Matt Smith 45'+7' goal
  • Lewis Bate 74' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 74' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Smith 12'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 20'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 54'
  • yellowcard Conor McAleny 71'
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 74'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 82'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Moor Lane
  • Matthew Lund 33' yellowcard
  • Neil Wood 34' yellowcard
  • Kelly N'Mai 36' goal
  • Ryan Watson 45'+2' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 64' yellowcard
  • goal Max Dean 10'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 50'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 67'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 72'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 73'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 88'